Analyst Advised North Korean Diplomats to Not Greet New President With Provocations

This was actually good advice which so far the Kim regime has been following:

Robert Gallucci

A former chief U.S. nuclear negotiator with North Korea said he advised diplomats from Pyongyang to refrain from greeting a new U.S. administration with nuclear or missile tests when he met with them in Malaysia in October.

Robert Gallucci, who negotiated a now-defunct 1994 nuclear freeze deal with the North, held meetings in Kuala Lumpur on Oct. 21-22 with senior diplomats from North Korea, including Vice Foreign Minister Han Song-ryol and Deputy U.N. Ambassador Jang Il-hun.

“When I met North Korean representatives for Track II discussions in Kuala Lumpur, I took the opportunity to advise them that they should avoid greeting a new American administration with new nuclear or ballistic missile tests, or any aggressive moves towards the U.S. or its allies,” Gallucci said.

“I suggested that whomever the next president turned out to be, they would not appreciate such a greeting and would undoubtedly respond with appropriate vigor and certainly not with an inclination to negotiate any time soon,” he said in a statement prepared for a House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing set for Tuesday.  [Yonhap]

Here is what else Mr. Gallucci had to say about what other North Korea experts have been advocating for:

Gallucci said that the U.S. should not seek anything short of North Korea’s complete denuclearization, voicing concern that too many analysts are now arguing that all the U.S. needs is to stop the North Korean nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs from growing.

Seeking such a freeze is “unrealistic and dangerous,” he said.

Entering into negotiations with the North without the U.S. declaring its goal of a non-nuclear North Korea would “appear to have the United States legitimize the North’s nuclear weapons status, and thus increase the likelihood that before too long South Korea and then Japan would follow suit,” Gallucci said.

The way I look at it is that Gallucci wants the US to negotiate for something the North Koreans will never give up.  What deal could the US possibly offer for the Kim regime to give up their nuclear weapons?  I have not heard one person give a realistic option on what the incentive would be for the Kim regime to give up its nukes.  This is like going into negotiations with the Taliban and asking them to give up radical Islam, that is how important the nuclear weapons are to the Kim regime.  Nuclear weapons is something that legitimizes and assures regime survival, just like radical Islam is to the Taliban.

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setnaffa
setnaffa
7 years ago

I’ve often by the US and ROK offering DPRK leadership ceremonial executive positions in various chaebol, freedom from prosecution, mansions in Hollywood with access to movie stars based on their current rank, etc.

Meanwhile, “ordinary” citizens could be given municipal or chaebol jobs doing what they do now with a training/transition plan to a more healthy economy. Some jobs would need to be changed (e.g., secret police). They’d have to learn capitalism all over again; but there are enough folks willing to teach them in a friendly way. East Germany and Russia had it thrust on them; but this could be planned carefully.

Limited cross-border interaction at first would start to ease tensions (from a repeat of the family reunion buses to “See? The northern/southern folks are as Korean as we are!”) and encourage Koreans to forget the rough spots. Once the transition was complete, the country would be fully open

The whole “build the nukes while the rest of the country starves” thing seems a bit of a low percentage play for the whole country and especially the leadership who could at some point end up like Mussolini.

A good sales team (hopefully Trump and Tillotson?) could probably develop an acceptable plan and present it the right way…

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