Would Pre-Emptive Strike of North Korea Lead to Seoul Getting “Flattened”?

If the US was to do a preemptive strike on North Korea’s nuclear program I seriously doubt the North Koreans would respond by launching an artillery strike that would flatten Seoul:

North Korea has a massive amount of artillery dug into bunkers and pointed toward Seoul, and missiles that can reach Japan and other key U.S. allies in the region.

A pre-emptive U.S. strike might slow North Korea’s advancing nuclear program, but there is no effective way of knocking out its ability to retaliate.

“A military strike might alleviate our concerns” about North Korea developing nuclear missiles capable of reaching U.S. cities, said David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security. “But it would mean Seoul could get flattened.”

U.S. intelligence agencies have only sketchy knowledge of North Korea’s nuclear arsenal, which includes ballistic missiles and nuclear warheads. They are scattered around in hardened bunkers. Specialized bombs capable of penetrating bunkers would be required to destroy them.

Some of the missiles are mounted on trucks and can be hidden. “All they would have to do is successfully hide the no-dong missiles,” Albright said. “They have hundreds of them.” The missiles have a range of about 800 to 900 miles.  [USA Today]

You can read the rest at the link, but if North Korea flattened Seoul this would lead to a regime change invasion of North Korea by the ROK and the US.  Kim Jong-un is not suicidal and I believe would instead respond in a limited way that would not lead to a regime change scenario.  I think the Kim regime would focus on conducting an asymmetrical retaliation focused against the United States that would include cyber attacks and possibly launching a limited number of ballistic missiles at US targets.

Does anyone have any opinions on how they think the Kim regime would respond to a preemptive strike on their nuclear and missile programs?



I am a US military veteran that has served all over the world to include in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Korea. I have been blogging about Korea, Northeast Asia, and the US military for over 10 years.


  1. Seriously (been that kind of night so I have to actually say it) I think a pre-emptive strike is about the only way to force change from within. Level all their bad boy toys and when fatty tries to give the command to “unleash hell” some notebook holding bubba in the background who realizes that’s a death sentence for them all starts the revolution.

    The sooner the world faces that there is no safe & clean resolution to the DRPK problem the better. There’s gonna be some suck, how much depends on how half-assed the solution and how long they wait to do it. (I sense a joke about CH @ HookerHill in there somewhere)

  2. “Does anyone have any opinions on how they think the Kim regime would respond to a preemptive strike on their nuclear and missile programs?”

    A leaked Chinese report thinks they will simply cover it up internally and wait for a weaker president.

    …or that’s what they want the USA to believe they think.

  3. Smokes, they better leave Hooker Hill alone.

    …at least the tranny bars.

    …though there is something alluring about a ragged tranny skulking through the shattered streets, cheeks covered in black trails of tear-streaked mascara, begging to exchange favors for food.

    …even more alluring if ahe has a sloppily bandaged stump.

  4. I’m surprised that place is still there, didn’t they get rid of the districts @ 용잔역 & 미아리? I can only guess that Ajeoshi convinced the government to leave it be so that the nosers don’t go seeking out the pure Chosun women…

  5. bah 용산 not 용잔… still can’t type in Korean without the lights on…. silly

  6. It’s all speculative. Trying to guess how rational or irrational Kim Jong-un is. To me, he seems to have the decision making aptitude of a petulant child.

    We’d be making a risky bet. But would our politicians be playing the same odds if it was Washington, D.C. under the artillery instead of Seoul?

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