Tag: Iran

For the Iranians in South Korea this should be good news for them:

Korea will allow Iranians to remain here beyond their visa limits on humanitarian grounds, as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran intensifies in the Middle East.

In response to inquiries from The Korea Times regarding Iranian nationals in Korea, the Ministry of Justice said those whose visas cannot be extended under ordinary rules will be permitted to stay until war-related risks are deemed to have subsided enough to allow safe travel.

As of January, 2,133 Iranian nationals were residing legally in Korea.

Korea Times

You can read more at the link.

This is some great advertising for Korea’s defense industry:

As Iranian forces launched retaliatory strikes across the Middle East following Saturday’s U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, the United Arab Emirates turned to South Korea’s Cheongung-II surface-to-air missile system to help intercept incoming attacks, according to officials familiar with the matter. 

The system, sold to the UAE in recent years as part of Seoul’s expanding defense exports, has been integrated into the country’s broader air defense network. 

The interception marks the first combat use of a South Korean-made air defense weapon deployed overseas, underscoring the country’s expanding arms exports to the Middle East and offering a rare glimpse of the system’s performance in combat.

Korea Times

You can read more at the link.

Here is an interesting Op-Ed in the Korea Times from a retired ROK Army general on what South Korea should learn from the Iran War:

(……..) There are clear parallels between Iran and North Korea. Both rely on missiles, coercive rhetoric and calibrated escalation to compensate for economic and conventional weakness. Both view nuclear capability as regime insurance. Both assume that external actors will ultimately avoid confrontation due to escalation risks.

The difference is that North Korea already possesses nuclear weapons. That reality does not guarantee safety. It merely raises the stakes.

The true stabilizing factor on the Korean Peninsula is not North Korea’s arsenal. It is the alliance structure anchored by South Korea, Japan and the United States. That structure imposes strategic restraint on all sides because any conflict would be immediate, catastrophic and alliance-driven.

But restraint depends on credibility.

Here is the uncomfortable point the Korean public must confront: the U.S.-ROK alliance is not indestructible. It is sustained by political will on both sides. If South Korea signals that the alliance is conditional, negotiable or politically expendable, Washington will not ignore that signal.

Great powers adjust. They always do.

Some in South Korea believe the alliance can be strategically “tested” — that Seoul can publicly distance itself from Washington, question joint exercises, dilute trilateral cooperation with Japan and still assume the American security guarantee remains unchanged. That is a dangerous illusion. (………)

If Washington perceives hesitation in Seoul, it will hedge. Hedging does not require abandonment. It requires adjustment — force posture changes, prioritization shifts, conditional commitments. And once strategic recalibration begins, it is rarely reversed quickly.

The first costs of miscalculation will not fall on Washington. They will fall on Seoul.

Progressives who advocate engagement with North Korea are not wrong to seek reduced tension. Dialogue is necessary. But dialogue that undermines deterrence credibility invites coercion. There is no historical example in which weakening alliance solidarity strengthened negotiating leverage with a nuclear-armed adversary.

Strategic autonomy is often invoked as justification for recalibrating ties with the United States. But autonomy without substitute capability is exposure. China will not defend South Korea against Northern aggression. Japan cannot replace American extended deterrence. An independent nuclear option would impose severe economic and diplomatic penalties on South Korea. (………)

Testing the alliance for domestic political leverage is not strategic sophistication. It is strategic gambling in an increasingly unforgiving environment.

Korea Times

You can read the whole thing at the link.

I guess this reaction to the bombing of Iran from North Korea is to be expected, but the term “gangster-like conduct” is quite interesting coming from a regime known as the Sopranos State:

North Korea on Sunday strongly condemned military strikes against Iran by the United States and Israel, calling them “gangster-like conduct.”

The U.S. and Israel launched a joint attack on Iran on Saturday (U.S. time) in a large-scale military operation that the Iranian state media said killed its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, amid a stalemate in indirect nuclear talks between Washington and Tehran. 

In a statement carried by the Korea Central News Agency (KCNA), Pyongyang said Israel’s attack on Iran was conducted with the active support and backing of the U.S., and that Washington’s subsequent military actions constituted a “thoroughly unlawful act of aggression” and a “gross violation of sovereignty.”

Yonhap

You can read more at the link.

If Iran conducts any terrorist attacks against the U.S. and refuses to give up on the pursuit of nuclear weapons the war will continue and oil prices will likely go up:

South Korea’s economy has enjoyed a boost since the inauguration of President Lee Jae Myung, but now finds itself bracing for the impact of the US attacks on three of Iran’s core nuclear sites — Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.

On Sunday, US President Donald Trump said in an address at the White House that Tehran’s “key nuclear enrichment facilities” had been “completely and totally obliterated” by US forces.

“There will be either peace, or there will be tragedy for Iran, far greater than we have witnessed over the last eight days,” noted Trump, adding that the US will go after other targets if Iran does not agree to peace.

Industry insiders here are concerned that this escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may increase oil prices in Korea, which imports approximately 70 percent of its crude oil from the region.

Korea Herald

You can read more at the link, but China gets a majority of their energy from the Middle East and Iran as well. It would be in their interest to put pressure on the mullahs to compitulate to the U.S. nuclear demands. It would keep a government friendly to China in power in Iran and cause no further impact to energy supplies which is all in China’s national interest.

You know things are not going well when you have to flee to Turkmenistan for safety:

Twenty South Korean nationals and their family members have evacuated Iran via a land route and arrived safely in Turkmenistan amid escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, the foreign ministry said Wednesday.

Yonhap

You can read more at the link.