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The article is claiming declining voter turn out is bad news for the conservative Presidential candidate Kim Moon-soo. I think this is because many conservatives voter know the race was lost when Kim Moon-soo could not create a combined ticket with Lee Jun-seok and are staying home. With liberals united around Lee Jae-myung the conservatives unless something extraordinary happens, have no way to win this election with a divided vote:

Public officials on May 30 move boxes filled with ballots cast during the presidential election's early voting period in Seoul. [YONHAP]

Public officials on May 30 move boxes filled with ballots cast during the presidential election’s early voting period in Seoul. [YONHAP]

“Early voting turnout in the Daegu-North Gyeongsang region had dropped compared to the last presidential election — from 37.66 percent to 28.69 percent — despite both major parties encouraging early voting because voter sentiment has not solidified as much as expected,” said Cho Gwi-dong, head of political strategy at Min Political Consulting. 
  
“The real variable is how many of these disheartened voters can be mobilized for Election Day.” 
  
Much also depends on whether swing voters and anti-Lee Jae-myung conservatives gravitate toward People Power Party (PPP) candidate Kim Moon-soo or Reform Party candidate Lee Jun-seok. Analysts suggest these voters remain undecided, caught between a “bandwagon effect” favoring the perceived front-runner and an “underdog effect” that draws support to a surging outsider. 
  
“This election is fundamentally unfavorable to the PPP because it was the impeachment of former President Yoon Suk Yeol that led to the snap election in the first place,” said Lee Jae-mook, a professor of political science at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.

Joong Ang Ilbo

You can read more at the link.

Pentagon Confirms It is Looking How to Calibrate USFK to Better Deter China

This confirms that the Pentagon is looking at how to adjust force posture in the Indo-Pacific and it could mean there could be change coming to USFK or not. We will eventually see what options for force posture changes the Pentagon decides upon:

A senior U.S. defense official underscored the need Thursday to “modernize” the alliance with South Korea and “calibrate” U.S. force posture on the Korean Peninsula to deter China, apparently leaving open the possibility of an adjustment to the U.S. Forces Korea (USFK) presence.

In a press briefing, the official pointed out Washington’s desire to work with the incoming Seoul government to ensure that the bilateral partnership is “strategically sustainable,” as South Korea is set to pick a new president in an election set for Tuesday.

The official’s remarks followed a recent news report that the Pentagon is considering withdrawing roughly 4,500 troops of the 28,500-strong USFK and moving them to other locations in the Indo-Pacific, including Guam. The Pentagon has dismissed the report as untrue.

Yonhap

You can read more at the link.

ROK Drop Open Thread – May 30, 2025

Please leave anything you want to discuss in the comments section.

Tweet of the Day: Documentary Shows Challenges of Chinese Company Trying to Build Infrastructure in the Congo

Picture of the Day: Korean and Japanese Business Leaders Issue Joint Statement

S. Korean, Japanese biz leaders issue joint statement
S. Korean, Japanese biz leaders issue joint statement
Kim Yoon (L), co-chairman of the Korea-Japan Economic Association and chairman of Samyang Holdings, and Yutaka Aso, vice chairman of the Japan-Korea Economic Association and chairman of Aso Cement Co., attend a press conference at a hotel in Seoul on May 28, 2025, about a joint statement that South Korean and Japanese business leaders adopted following the 57th South Korea-Japan Business Conference. (Yonhap)

South Korea Sees Largest Ever Early Voting for Presidential Election

With Lee Jae-myung leading by double digits in the polls this massive early voter turn out means there are a far fewer people to convince to change their vote in the upcoming days for the conservatives:

The two-day early voting began at 3,568 polling stations nationwide earlier in the day. The official election is slated for next Tuesday.

An all-time high of 19.58 percent of voters cast their ballots Thursday on the first day of early voting for the upcoming presidential election to elect the successor to former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was ousted over his failed martial law bid.

More than 8.69 million out of 44,391,871 registered voters, or 19.58 percent, cast their ballots from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Thursday, according to the National Election Commission (NEC).

Yonhap

You can read more at the link.

NEC Faces Accusations of Voter Fraud as Ballots Seen Distributed Outside of Early Voting Site

For an organization that has been facing accusations of voter fraud, so much so that it was one of the reasons former President Yoon tried to declare martial law, this is not a good look:

Police are stationed at the Gusinchon-dong community center where ballots were allegedly taken outside the polling station on May 29 in western Seoul. [JOONGANG ILBO]

Police are stationed at the Gusinchon-dong community center where ballots were allegedly taken outside the polling station on May 29 in western Seoul. [JOONGANG ILBO]

On the first day of early voting for the 21st presidential election, dozens of ballot papers were seen outside a polling station in Seoul, sparking controversy and raising concerns regarding electoral integrity. 
  
The National Election Commission (NEC) acknowledged the incident Thursday and attributed it to administrative mismanagement.

According to the NEC and eyewitnesses, between 11 a.m. and noon Thursday, a number of people were spotted holding ballot papers and return envelopes outside the early voting site at the Gusinchon-dong Community Center in Seodaemun District, western Seoul. 
  
A high number of out-of-district voters caused congestion, outlets including Maeil Business Newspaper reported, leading some citizens to receive their ballots after verifying their identities and then wait outside the polling station before voting. The NEC estimated that around 30 to 40 people had received ballots and were waiting outside. 
  
Several witnesses reported seeing people walk around the neighborhood with their ballot papers. One staff member at a nearby university said the queue stretched roughly 30 meters (98 feet) when they visited during lunch. 
  
“I thought the envelopes in their hands were informational pamphlets, but they were actually ballot papers and return envelopes,” they said.

Joong Ang Ilbo

You can read more at the link.

ROK Maritime Patrol Aircraft Crashes Outside Pohang Killing Four

A tragic accident appears to have happened to cause this ROK Navy P9 aircraft to crash:

All four Navy officers aboard a maritime patrol aircraft were killed after the plane crashed on a mountain in the southeastern city of Pohang on Thursday, the Navy said. 

The crash occurred at around 1:49 p.m., and witnesses reported smoke rising from the mountain with sounds of explosions. 

“A P-3 maritime patrol aircraft that took off at 1:43 p.m. for landing and takeoff training from an air base in Pohang crashed at a nearby location at around 1:49 p.m., due to an unspecified reason,” the Navy said.

Four people were on board — two commissioned officers and two non-commissioned officers.

The Navy said it recovered the dead bodies of all four officers. The officers’ identities have yet to be confirmed.

The aircraft was usually based at a Navy unit on the southern island of Jeju, but had flown to Pohang for training, a Navy official said.

Yonhap

You can read more at the link.

Tweet of the Day: Why Chinese Translation?

Picture of the Day: Park Geun-hye Visits Father’s Birthplace

Ex-President Park visits her father's birthplace
Ex-President Park visits her father’s birthplace
Former President Park Geun-hye (R) speaks to reporters as she visits the birthplace of her father and late President Park Chung-hee in Gumi, North Gyeongsang Province, southeastern South Korea, on May 27, 2025. (Yonhap)